Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 0.147287 0.168194 0.191904 0.220967 0.255882 0.296793 0.348827
2025-04-20 0.114544 0.141525 0.175446 0.222016 0.285557 0.371176 0.498780
2025-04-27 0.096120 0.125799 0.166102 0.226538 0.318036 0.457078 0.696739
2025-05-04 0.083671 0.114495 0.158966 0.230622 0.349069 0.549269 0.944763
2025-05-11 0.075010 0.106504 0.154315 0.236287 0.382853 0.656346 1.274148
2025-05-18 0.067686 0.099073 0.148790 0.238671 0.410860 0.762532 1.666377
2025-05-25 0.061606 0.092552 0.143400 0.239726 0.436154 0.872744 2.147165
2025-06-01 0.056218 0.086347 0.137438 0.238260 0.455672 0.978155 2.703982
2025-06-08 0.051362 0.080391 0.130965 0.234392 0.468795 1.073937 3.325379
2025-06-15 0.048599 0.077662 0.129838 0.240911 0.507469 1.256625 4.491140
2025-06-22 0.044833 0.072730 0.123921 0.236187 0.517497 1.362076 5.482145
2025-06-29 0.042335 0.069813 0.121459 0.238524 0.546544 1.545077 7.203172
2025-07-06 0.039457 0.065963 0.116800 0.235316 0.560631 1.689893 9.060437
2025-07-13 0.037540 0.063744 0.115175 0.239039 0.596427 1.944431 12.508039
2025-07-20 0.035984 0.062058 0.114429 0.244796 0.640898 2.273891 18.084883
2025-07-27 0.034482 0.060324 0.113357 0.249541 0.684347 2.642389 26.470129
2025-08-03 0.033227 0.058959 0.112912 0.255880 0.736273 3.113471 40.946729
2025-08-10 0.031813 0.057140 0.111232 0.258540 0.776458 3.571110 62.004317
2025-08-17 0.030421 0.055244 0.109156 0.259714 0.811985 4.052235 94.880526
2025-08-24 0.028971 0.053109 0.106293 0.258093 0.836100 4.495204 142.453435
2025-08-31 0.027486 0.050783 0.102743 0.253811 0.847766 4.868737 207.594381
2025-09-07 0.026760 0.050034 0.102903 0.261030 0.914536 5.843226 432.495161
2025-09-14 0.025424 0.047853 0.099334 0.255798 0.921284 6.273653 681.617963